--- title: "Sea Secrets case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sea Secrets ($74.40) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 55.76% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef rendered: 2026-11-12T06:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Sea Secrets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Sea Secrets A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef?window=all) Price · $74.40 · 123,956 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $66.96 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 55.76% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 12.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 187.0% 374.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef?window=24h) | 4 | 21.86% ±352.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef?window=7d) | 8 | 55.76% ±249.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef) | 8 | 55.76% ±249.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef?window=all) | 8 | 55.76% ±249.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Precious Stones of Aquamarine (Gemstone) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stones-of-aquamarine-gemstone) | 1 in 50 | $1,891 3,150,000 BUX | 56.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Rocks Of Coral (Silica Mineral) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocks-of-coral-silica-mineral) | 1 in 15 | $248 413,360 BUX | 24.5% | 3 | 0.5 | — | | [Lots Of Gems Of Aquamarine (Gemstone) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-gems-of-aquamarine-gemstone) | 10.0% | $45.80 76,300 BUX | 6.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Amulet (Aquamarine) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-aquamarine) | 10.0% | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 6.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Knife (Aquamarine) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-aquamarine) | 13.0% | $18.25 30,405 BUX | 3.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.92× | | [Amalgam (Aquamarine) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amalgam-aquamarine) | 14.5% | $8.00 13,328 BUX | 1.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Arrowhead (Aquamarine) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrowhead-aquamarine) | 16.4% | $2.40 3,998 BUX | 0.6% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.52× | | [Fractions Of Coral (Silica Mineral) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/fractions-of-coral-silica-mineral) | 27.5% | $0.24 400 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eef) [Arrowhead (Aquamarine) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrowhead-aquamarine) Hidden $74.40 123,956 BUX $2.40 3,998 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Knife (Aquamarine) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-aquamarine) Hidden $74.40 123,956 BUX $18.25 30,405 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Arrowhead (Aquamarine) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrowhead-aquamarine) Hidden $74.40 123,956 BUX $2.40 3,998 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Amulet (Aquamarine) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-aquamarine) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $74.40 123,956 BUX $42.00 69,972 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Rocks Of Coral (Silica Mineral) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocks-of-coral-silica-mineral) Hidden $74.40 123,956 BUX $0.24 400 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-07 12:32 UTC [Knife (Aquamarine) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-aquamarine) Hidden $74.40 123,956 BUX $18.25 30,405 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-07 12:32 UTC [Rocks Of Coral (Silica Mineral) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocks-of-coral-silica-mineral) Hidden $74.40 123,956 BUX $0.24 400 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-07 12:32 UTC [Rocks Of Coral (Silica Mineral) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocks-of-coral-silica-mineral) [maxz9590](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/maxz9590) $74.40 123,956 BUX $248 413,360 BUX 3.33x 2026-11-07 12:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $74.40 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 12.0% Mil Spec Grade 47.1% Restricted 10.0% Industrial Grade 14.5% Consumer Grade 16.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt