--- title: "Silver Luminance case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Silver Luminance ($48.72) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 19.80% over 38 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Silver Luminance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Silver Luminance A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7?window=all) Price · $48.72 · 81,163 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $43.85 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 19.80% · 38 openings, odds method Variance · 25.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min -0.5% 187.3% 375.0% **Small sample.** 38 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7?window=7d) | 8 | 26.72% ±347.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7) | 38 | 19.80% ±159.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7?window=all) | 38 | 19.80% ±159.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Lots Of Coins Of Mithril (Metal) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-mithril-metal) | 1 in 100 | $2,421 4,033,386 BUX | 55.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Bars Of Silver (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-silver-metal) | 1 in 20 | $240 400,000 BUX | 27.4% | 14 | 1.9 | 7.37× | | [1oz Silver bullet (Silver) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/1oz-silver-bullet-silver) | 10.0% | $25.00 41,650 BUX | 5.7% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.58× | | [Silver Serpent other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-serpent) | 10.0% | $21.00 34,986 BUX | 4.8% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× | | [Sarcophagus (Silver) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sarcophagus-silver) | 15.0% | $13.40 22,324 BUX | 4.6% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× | | [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) | 17.0% | $3.25 5,415 BUX | 1.3% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.24× | | [Lots Of Coins Of Silver (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-silver-metal) | 17.0% | $2.40 4,000 BUX | 0.9% | 0 | 6.5 | 0.00× | | [Crumbs Of Silver (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crumbs-of-silver-metal) | 25.0% | $0.24 400 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 9.5 | 0.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef7) [Silver Serpent other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-serpent) Hidden $48.72 81,163 BUX $21.00 34,986 BUX 0.43x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) Hidden $48.72 81,163 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [1oz Silver bullet (Silver) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/1oz-silver-bullet-silver) Hidden $48.72 81,163 BUX $25.00 41,650 BUX 0.51x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [1oz Silver bullet (Silver) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/1oz-silver-bullet-silver) [komnuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/komnuu) $48.72 81,163 BUX $25.00 41,650 BUX 0.51x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) Hidden $48.72 81,163 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) Hidden $48.72 81,163 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC [Silver Serpent other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-serpent) Hidden $48.72 81,163 BUX $21.00 34,986 BUX 0.43x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC [Bars Of Silver (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-silver-metal) Hidden $48.72 81,163 BUX $2.40 4,000 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $48.72 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 1.0% Mil Spec Grade 67.0% Industrial Grade 15.0% Consumer Grade 17.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt