--- title: "Mountain's Peak case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mountain's Peak ($28.83) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 87.01% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Mountain's Peak](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Mountain's Peak A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9?window=all) Price · $28.83 · 48,039 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $25.95 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.01% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 70.3% 141.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9?window=24h) | 8 | 34.11% ±99.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9?window=7d) | 28 | 87.42% ±53.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9) | 30 | 87.01% ±51.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9?window=all) | 30 | 87.01% ±51.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Lots Of Slabs Of Marble (Rock) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-slabs-of-marble-rock) | 1 in 100 | $264 440,000 BUX | 10.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Lots Of Bars Of Cobalt (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-bars-of-cobalt-metal) | 1 in 25 | $150 250,000 BUX | 23.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [A Geologist's Rejected Diamond (Diamond) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-geologists-rejected-diamond-diamond) | 1 in 20 | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 17.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [Small Nugget (Gold) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/small-nugget-gold) | 1 in 17 | $47.00 78,302 BUX | 10.9% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [Bar Of Steel (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bar-of-steel-metal) | 1 in 11 | $41.48 69,100 BUX | 14.4% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× | | [Clarity Cube (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clarity-cube-cobalt) | 10.0% | $29.00 48,314 BUX | 11.2% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) | 65.0% | $5.32 8,856 BUX | 13.3% | 21 | 19.5 | 1.08× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ef9) [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Bar Of Steel (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bar-of-steel-metal) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $41.48 69,100 BUX 1.44x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) [Miglekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Miglekk) $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:29 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:29 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:29 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) [Miglekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Miglekk) $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:29 UTC [Clarity Cube (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clarity-cube-cobalt) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $29.00 48,314 BUX 1.01x 2026-11-08 06:43 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) Hidden $28.83 48,039 BUX $5.32 8,856 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-08 06:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $28.83 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Mil Spec Grade 10.0% Consumer Grade 69.0% Restricted 11.0% Industrial Grade 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt