--- title: "10% Profitfarm case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Profitfarm ($1.83) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 140.82% over 140 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124 rendered: 2026-11-12T10:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [10% Profitfarm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 10% Profitfarm A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124?window=all) Price · $1.83 · 3,042 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 140.82% · 140 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 140 openings · below min since tracking started · 140 openings · below min 28.0% 252.0% 476.0% **Small sample.** 140 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124?window=24h) | 16 | 255.01% ±220.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124?window=7d) | 36 | 142.95% ±114.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124) | 140 | 140.82% ±55.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124?window=all) | 140 | 140.82% ±55.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4902ecb2b8af8aa124) [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Sticker | kinqie (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kinqie-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $17.56 29,254 BUX 9.62x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $1.83 3,042 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-blue-spruce-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $17.67 29,438 BUX 9.68x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $1.83 3,042 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $21.69 36,135 BUX 11.88x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) Hidden $1.83 3,042 BUX $16.38 27,289 BUX 8.97x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 140.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $140.82 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt