---
title: "500 BATTLE CASE case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "500 BATTLE CASE ($0.75) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.26% over 142 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [500 BATTLE CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 500 BATTLE CASE

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302?window=all)

Price · $0.75 · 1,251 BUX

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.26% · 142 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 130 openings · below min

30 days · 142 openings · below min

since tracking started · 142 openings · below min

5.0% 70.3% 135.5%

**Small sample.** 142 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302?window=24h) | 4 | 70.20% ±64.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302?window=7d) | 130 | 81.39% ±21.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302) | 142 | 83.26% ±20.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302?window=all) | 142 | 83.26% ±20.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa302)

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $1.20 1,999 BUX 1.60x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.60 999 BUX 0.80x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[Souvenir MP7 | Motherboard (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-motherboard-battle-scarred) [user-1e2e3e](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-1e2e3e) $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.15 249 BUX 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-outbreak-battle-scarred) [user-7d547d](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-7d547d) $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.16 266 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hideout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.24 399 BUX 0.32x 2026-11-10 21:44 UTC

[XM1014 | Quicksilver (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-quicksilver-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.21 349 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-10 21:44 UTC

[XM1014 | Quicksilver (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-quicksilver-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.21 349 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-10 21:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-outbreak-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.16 266 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:44 UTC

[UMP-45 | Riot (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-riot-well-worn) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $0.19 316 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-10 21:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $0.75 1,251 BUX $1.05 1,749 BUX 1.40x 2026-11-10 21:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.26 on average: an expected loss of $16.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
