--- title: "FNCY 10% KNIFE case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "FNCY 10% KNIFE ($11.04) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 417.80% over 12 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a rendered: 2026-11-12T11:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [FNCY 10% KNIFE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · FNCY 10% KNIFE A case on 500 Casino, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a?window=all) Price · $11.04 · 18,392 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 417.80% · 12 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 403.3% 807.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a?window=24h) | 4 | 345.85% ±395.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a?window=7d) | 12 | 417.80% ±388.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a) | 12 | 417.80% ±388.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a?window=all) | 12 | 417.80% ±388.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa33a) [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $84.64 141,010 BUX 7.67x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $67.88 113,088 BUX 6.15x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-09 23:19 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-09 23:19 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-09 23:19 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $79.15 131,863 BUX 7.17x 2026-11-09 23:19 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:33 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $11.04 18,392 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 417.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $417.80 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt