--- title: "Youngbram 15% case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Youngbram 15% ($25.17) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 53.12% over 11 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388 rendered: 2026-11-12T17:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Youngbram 15%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Youngbram 15% A case on 500 Casino, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388?window=all) Price · $25.17 · 41,940 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 53.12% · 11 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 7 openings · below min 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 11 openings · below min since tracking started · 11 openings · below min -0.5% 122.0% 244.5% **Small sample.** 11 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388?window=24h) | 7 | 82.98% ±161.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388?window=7d) | 7 | 82.98% ±161.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388) | 11 | 53.12% ±102.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388?window=all) | 11 | 53.12% ±102.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4a02ecb2b8af8aa388) [XM1014 | Quicksilver (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-quicksilver-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.17 41,940 BUX $0.21 349 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:07 UTC [UMP-45 | Riot (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-riot-well-worn) Hidden $25.17 41,940 BUX $0.19 316 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:07 UTC [Fracture Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/fracture-case) Hidden $25.17 41,940 BUX $0.20 333 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:07 UTC [XM1014 | Quicksilver (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-quicksilver-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.17 41,940 BUX $0.21 349 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:07 UTC [Revolution Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/revolution-case) Hidden $25.17 41,940 BUX $0.27 449 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-12 12:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Hotpot graffiti · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hotpot) Hidden $25.17 41,940 BUX $0.21 349 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-12 12:49 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.17 41,940 BUX $145 241,470 BUX 5.76x 2026-11-12 12:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 53.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $53.12 on average: an expected loss of $46.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt