---
title: "Profit Paradiseeee case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Profit Paradiseeee ($1.48) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 155.52% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723
rendered: 2026-11-12T10:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Profit Paradiseeee](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Profit Paradiseeee

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723?window=all)

Price · $1.48 · 2,469 BUX

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 155.52% · 18 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 10 openings · below min

30 days · 18 openings · below min

since tracking started · 18 openings · below min

18.0% 150.5% 283.0%

**Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723?window=7d) | 10 | 122.32% ±103.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723) | 18 | 155.52% ±127.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723?window=all) | 18 | 155.52% ±127.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4d02ecb2b8af8aa723)

[Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.48 2,469 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) [jepsi\_pepsi](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/jepsi_pepsi) $1.48 2,469 BUX $1.28 2,132 BUX 0.86x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC

[Galil AR | Tuxedo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.48 2,469 BUX $0.36 599 BUX 0.24x 2026-11-07 01:14 UTC

[M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.48 2,469 BUX $1.78 2,965 BUX 1.20x 2026-11-07 01:14 UTC

[Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.48 2,469 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-07 01:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) [Sunboyss](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Sunboyss) $1.48 2,469 BUX $1.28 2,132 BUX 0.86x 2026-11-07 01:14 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) Hidden $1.48 2,469 BUX $1.28 2,132 BUX 0.86x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC

[MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $1.48 2,469 BUX $8.50 14,161 BUX 5.74x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.48 2,469 BUX $2.69 4,481 BUX 1.81x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC

[Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-minimal-wear) [silverflame](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/silverflame) $1.48 2,469 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 155.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $155.52 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
