--- title: "5% USP-S case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% USP-S ($0.64) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 270.85% over 106 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9 rendered: 2026-11-12T06:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [5% USP-S](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 5% USP-S A case on 500 Casino, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9?window=all) Price · $0.64 · 1,066 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 270.85% · 106 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 86 openings · below min 30 days · 106 openings · below min since tracking started · 106 openings · below min -0.5% 325.3% 651.0% **Small sample.** 106 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9?window=7d) | 86 | 90.84% ±112.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9) | 106 | 270.85% ±379.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9?window=all) | 106 | 270.85% ±379.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $128 213,148 BUX 200.0x 2026-11-02 23:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aa9b9) [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-10 02:37 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-10 02:37 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:06 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:06 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:06 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:06 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) Hidden $0.64 1,066 BUX $0.18 299 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $128 (200.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 270.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $270.85 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt