--- title: "500 COVERT case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "500 COVERT ($7.04) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.27% over 171 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [500 COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 500 COVERT A case on 500 Casino, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44?window=all) Price · $7.04 · 11,730 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.27% · 171 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 136 openings · below min 7 days · 152 openings · below min 30 days · 171 openings · below min since tracking started · 171 openings · below min 69.5% 106.7% 144.0% **Small sample.** 171 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44?window=24h) | 136 | 109.82% ±33.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44?window=7d) | 152 | 102.33% ±30.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44) | 171 | 97.27% ±27.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44?window=all) | 171 | 97.27% ±27.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4e02ecb2b8af8aaa44) [P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $6.79 11,312 BUX 0.96x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $1.66 2,765 BUX 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $12.42 20,691 BUX 1.76x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) [Flusie](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Flusie) $7.04 11,730 BUX $1.01 1,682 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [M4A4 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $11.13 18,542 BUX 1.58x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $2.29 3,815 BUX 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $97.95 163,184 BUX 13.91x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [Radicus](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Radicus) $7.04 11,730 BUX $3.34 5,564 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $2.29 3,815 BUX 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.04 11,730 BUX $3.34 5,564 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.27 on average: an expected loss of $2.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt