--- title: "30% USP case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "30% USP ($6.44) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 69.04% over 135 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55 rendered: 2026-11-12T14:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [30% USP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 30% USP A case on 500 Casino, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55?window=all) Price · $6.44 · 10,733 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 69.04% · 135 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 107 openings · below min 7 days · 123 openings · below min 30 days · 135 openings · below min since tracking started · 135 openings · below min 35.0% 65.0% 95.0% **Small sample.** 135 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55?window=24h) | 107 | 62.79% ±27.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55?window=7d) | 123 | 68.80% ±25.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55) | 135 | 69.04% ±23.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55?window=all) | 135 | 69.04% ±23.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4f02ecb2b8af8aab55) [USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $13.17 21,941 BUX 2.04x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $28.25 47,064 BUX 4.38x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 10,733 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-12 14:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.04 on average: an expected loss of $30.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt