--- title: "SEBM 10% knife case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SEBM 10% knife ($25.10) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 64.54% over 9 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3 rendered: 2026-11-12T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [SEBM 10% knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · SEBM 10% knife A case on 500 Casino, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3?window=all) Price · $25.10 · 41,818 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 64.54% · 9 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 9 openings · below min 7 days · 9 openings · below min 30 days · 9 openings · below min since tracking started · 9 openings · below min -0.5% 95.3% 191.0% **Small sample.** 9 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3?window=24h) | 9 | 64.54% ±125.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3?window=7d) | 9 | 64.54% ±125.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3) | 9 | 64.54% ±125.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3?window=all) | 9 | 64.54% ±125.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee5002ecb2b8af8aacd3) [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-scorched-well-worn) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $145 241,470 BUX 5.77x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-well-worn) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.11 183 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [Sticker | Xizt | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-xizt-katowice-2019) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.13 216 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-well-worn) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.11 183 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-well-worn) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.11 183 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $25.10 41,818 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.54 on average: an expected loss of $35.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt