--- title: "NikoGoodOdds case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NikoGoodOdds ($1.67) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.17% over 182 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d rendered: 2026-11-12T08:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [NikoGoodOdds](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · NikoGoodOdds A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d?window=all) Price · $1.67 · 2,781 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.17% · 182 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 118 openings · below min 30 days · 182 openings · below min since tracking started · 182 openings · below min 42.0% 97.2% 152.5% **Small sample.** 182 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d?window=24h) | 16 | 97.31% ±54.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d?window=7d) | 118 | 86.84% ±20.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d) | 182 | 75.17% ±15.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d?window=all) | 182 | 75.17% ±15.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee5102ecb2b8af8aae3d) [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $6.85 11,412 BUX 4.10x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $1.67 2,781 BUX $2.94 4,898 BUX 1.76x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $2.94 4,898 BUX 1.76x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $0.96 1,599 BUX 0.57x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $0.96 1,599 BUX 0.57x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-minimal-wear) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $1.67 2,781 BUX $0.96 1,599 BUX 0.57x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $1.67 2,781 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.17 on average: an expected loss of $24.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt