--- title: "7% Knife Case case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "7% Knife Case ($113.40) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.65% over 20 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [7% Knife Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 7% Knife Case A case on 500 Casino, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60?window=all) Price · $113.40 · 188,926 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.65% · 20 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min 20.0% 78.5% 137.0% **Small sample.** 20 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60?window=7d) | 16 | 78.50% ±58.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60) | 20 | 76.65% ±46.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60?window=all) | 20 | 76.65% ±46.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $569 947,854 BUX 5.02x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee5202ecb2b8af8aaf60) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $32.70 54,478 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $124 207,200 BUX 1.10x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $32.70 54,478 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) [fazzxn](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/fazzxn) $113 188,926 BUX $32.95 54,894 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $32.95 54,894 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $569 947,854 BUX 5.02x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $32.70 54,478 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) [fazzxn](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/fazzxn) $113 188,926 BUX $128 212,931 BUX 1.13x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $32.70 54,478 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-07 07:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) Hidden $113 188,926 BUX $32.95 54,894 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-07 07:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $569 (5.02x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.65 on average: an expected loss of $23.35 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt