--- title: "Knives - Stickers case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Knives - Stickers ($17.23) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.38% over 28 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd rendered: 2026-11-12T09:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Knives - Stickers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Knives - Stickers A case on 500 Casino, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd?window=all) Price · $17.23 · 28,710 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.38% · 28 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 28 openings · below min since tracking started · 28 openings · below min 23.5% 79.5% 135.5% **Small sample.** 28 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd?window=24h) | 24 | 79.46% ±55.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd?window=7d) | 28 | 78.38% ±50.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd) | 28 | 78.38% ±50.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd?window=all) | 28 | 78.38% ±50.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2dd) [Sticker | Twistzz (Foil) | London 2018 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-twistzz-foil-london-2018) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $29.48 49,113 BUX 1.71x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Sticker | device (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $29.63 49,363 BUX 1.72x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [MLG Columbus 2016 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mlg-columbus-2016-challengers-holo-foil) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $29.86 49,746 BUX 1.73x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Sticker | Please Return To sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-return-to) [Levis](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Levis) $17.23 28,710 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Sticker | device (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $29.74 49,546 BUX 1.73x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $99.37 165,550 BUX 5.77x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Sticker | Please Return To sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-return-to) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Sticker | Please Return To sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-return-to) [Levis](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Levis) $17.23 28,710 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Sticker | Please Return To sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-return-to) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Please Return To sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-return-to) Hidden $17.23 28,710 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.38 on average: an expected loss of $21.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt