--- title: "sticker madness 2 case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "sticker madness 2 ($16.08) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.27% over 36 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2 rendered: 2026-11-12T16:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [sticker madness 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · sticker madness 2 A case on 500 Casino, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2?window=all) Price · $16.08 · 26,797 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.27% · 36 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min 32.5% 77.3% 122.0% **Small sample.** 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2?window=24h) | 36 | 77.27% ±44.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2?window=7d) | 36 | 77.27% ±44.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2) | 36 | 77.27% ±44.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2?window=all) | 36 | 77.27% ±44.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee5402ecb2b8af8ab2f2) [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $7.99 13,311 BUX 0.50x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $7.99 13,311 BUX 0.50x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $7.99 13,311 BUX 0.50x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-antwerp-2022) [Caetanomaster](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Caetanomaster) $16.08 26,797 BUX $7.99 13,311 BUX 0.50x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Foil) | Cologne 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-foil-cologne-2015) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $99.88 166,400 BUX 6.21x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | G2 Esports (Holo) | Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-holo-katowice-2019) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $3.99 6,647 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | G2 Esports (Holo) | Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-holo-katowice-2019) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $3.99 6,647 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | G2 Esports (Holo) | Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-holo-katowice-2019) [Caetanomaster](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Caetanomaster) $16.08 26,797 BUX $3.99 6,647 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | G2 Esports (Holo) | Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-holo-katowice-2019) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $3.99 6,647 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $16.08 26,797 BUX $7.99 13,311 BUX 0.50x 2026-11-12 09:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.27 on average: an expected loss of $22.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt