--- title: "Juicy 10% case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Juicy 10% ($4.37) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.44% over 104 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e rendered: 2026-11-12T12:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Juicy 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Juicy 10% A case on 500 Casino, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e?window=all) Price · $4.37 · 7,287 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.44% · 104 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 100 openings · below min 7 days · 100 openings · below min 30 days · 104 openings · below min since tracking started · 104 openings · below min 26.0% 84.5% 143.0% **Small sample.** 104 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e?window=24h) | 100 | 72.48% ±45.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e?window=7d) | 100 | 72.48% ±45.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e) | 104 | 89.44% ±52.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e?window=all) | 104 | 89.44% ±52.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=661e86c1b35290c9260ff48e) [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $20.03 33,369 BUX 4.58x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [SG 553 | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $38.14 63,541 BUX 8.72x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $4.37 7,287 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.44 on average: an expected loss of $10.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt