--- title: "Gambleking v2 case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gambleking v2 ($91.87) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 171.49% over 32 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Gambleking v2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Gambleking v2 A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1?window=all) Price · $91.87 · 153,053 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 171.49% · 32 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min -0.5% 346.8% 694.0% **Small sample.** 32 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1?window=24h) | 16 | 288.74% ±404.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1?window=7d) | 24 | 192.53% ±272.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1) | 32 | 171.49% ±206.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1?window=all) | 32 | 171.49% ±206.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $3,048 5,077,484 BUX 33.17x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=663ba2f6b60430578014eaf1) [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $399 664,534 BUX 4.34x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:14 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:13 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:13 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:13 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:13 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.87 153,053 BUX $399 664,534 BUX 4.34x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,048 (33.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 171.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $171.49 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt