---
title: "Csfever2 case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Csfever2 ($25.03) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.52% over 4 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Csfever2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Csfever2

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05?window=all)

Price · $25.03 · 41,692 BUX

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.52% · 4 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

-0.5% 96.3% 193.0%

**Small sample.** 4 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05?window=7d) | 4 | 80.52% ±111.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05) | 4 | 80.52% ±111.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05?window=all) | 4 | 80.52% ±111.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=66410bdff5eac1022bac4c05)

[Sealed Graffiti | Recoil SG 553 (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-recoil-sg-553-brick-red) Hidden $25.03 41,692 BUX $5.45 9,079 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-10 11:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-factory-new) Hidden $25.03 41,692 BUX $6.08 10,129 BUX 0.24x 2026-11-10 11:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-factory-new) Hidden $25.03 41,692 BUX $6.08 10,129 BUX 0.24x 2026-11-10 11:31 UTC

[MAC-10 | Red Filigree (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-field-tested) [thidaoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/thidaoo) $25.03 41,692 BUX $62.99 104,941 BUX 2.52x 2026-11-10 11:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.52 on average: an expected loss of $19.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
