---
title: "Ball twister case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ball twister ($1.49) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 20.76% over 4 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3
rendered: 2026-11-13T05:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Ball twister](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Ball twister

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3?window=all)

Price · $1.49 · 2,485 BUX

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 20.76% · 4 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

20.0% 20.8% 21.5%

**Small sample.** 4 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3?window=7d) | 4 | 20.76% ±0.00 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3) | 4 | 20.76% ±0.00 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3?window=all) | 4 | 20.76% ±0.00 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6643d9774c529a89dd25cbd3)

[SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.49 2,485 BUX $0.31 516 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC

[Sticker | ropz (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $1.49 2,485 BUX $0.31 516 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC

[M4A1-S | Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-well-worn) Hidden $1.49 2,485 BUX $0.31 516 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC

[SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-battle-scarred) [jepsi\_pepsi](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/jepsi_pepsi) $1.49 2,485 BUX $0.31 516 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 20.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $20.76 on average: an expected loss of $79.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt