--- title: "9% Knife ! Battle Case case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "9% Knife ! Battle Case ($18.22) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 305.72% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [9% Knife ! Battle Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 9% Knife ! Battle Case A case on 500 Casino, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0?window=all) Price · $18.22 · 30,348 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 305.72% · 12 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 420.7% 842.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0?window=7d) | 12 | 305.72% ±535.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0) | 12 | 305.72% ±535.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0?window=all) | 12 | 305.72% ±535.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [derbastiii1](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/derbastiii1) $18.22 30,348 BUX $600 998,866 BUX 32.91x 2026-11-07 09:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0) [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:10 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:10 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $67.72 112,821 BUX 3.72x 2026-11-10 15:10 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:10 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:07 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:07 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:07 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:07 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-07 09:43 UTC [Sticker | Easy For Ricksaw sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-for-ricksaw) Hidden $18.22 30,348 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-07 09:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $600 (32.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 305.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $305.72 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt