--- title: "Stable as a horse case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Stable as a horse ($6.33) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.10% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e rendered: 2026-11-12T12:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Stable as a horse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Stable as a horse A case on 500 Casino, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e?window=all) Price · $6.33 · 10,548 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 72.10% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 72.3% 145.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e?window=24h) | 8 | 72.10% ±72.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e?window=7d) | 8 | 72.10% ±72.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e) | 8 | 72.10% ±72.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e?window=all) | 8 | 72.10% ±72.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=668221cfe03cb63706e3d01e) [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 10,548 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [Sticker | TACO (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taco-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $6.33 10,548 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 10,548 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [Sticker | TACO (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taco-holo-rio-2022) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $6.33 10,548 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [Sticker | sh1ro (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sh1ro-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $6.33 10,548 BUX $15.29 25,473 BUX 2.41x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 10,548 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC [Sticker | TACO (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taco-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $6.33 10,548 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC [Sticker | sh1ro (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sh1ro-gold-antwerp-2022) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $6.33 10,548 BUX $15.29 25,473 BUX 2.41x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.10 on average: an expected loss of $27.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt