--- title: "aw3some case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "aw3some ($4.85) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 66.95% over 16 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f rendered: 2026-11-12T09:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [aw3some](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · aw3some A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f?window=all) Price · $4.85 · 8,078 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 66.95% · 16 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 124.5% 249.5% **Small sample.** 16 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f?window=7d) | 8 | 105.54% ±143.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f) | 16 | 66.95% ±72.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f?window=all) | 16 | 66.95% ±72.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6685c028cdaccc292a86e83f) [Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-inferno-souvenir-package) Hidden $4.85 8,078 BUX $2.00 3,332 BUX 0.41x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC [Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-inferno-souvenir-package) [jepsi\_pepsi](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/jepsi_pepsi) $4.85 8,078 BUX $2.00 3,332 BUX 0.41x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC [Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-inferno-souvenir-package) Hidden $4.85 8,078 BUX $2.00 3,332 BUX 0.41x 2026-11-10 21:38 UTC [Sticker | crush | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crush-katowice-2019) Hidden $4.85 8,078 BUX $1.00 1,666 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:38 UTC [Sticker | crush | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crush-katowice-2019) Hidden $4.85 8,078 BUX $1.00 1,666 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:38 UTC [Boston 2018 Overpass Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-overpass-souvenir-package) [jepsi\_pepsi](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/jepsi_pepsi) $4.85 8,078 BUX $29.94 49,880 BUX 6.17x 2026-11-10 21:38 UTC [Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-inferno-souvenir-package) Hidden $4.85 8,078 BUX $2.00 3,332 BUX 0.41x 2026-11-05 14:02 UTC [Sticker | crush | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crush-katowice-2019) [user-a62de3](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-a62de3) $4.85 8,078 BUX $1.00 1,666 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-05 14:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.95 on average: an expected loss of $33.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt