--- title: "LIGHT 10% case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LIGHT 10% ($1.47) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 61.21% over 7 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905 rendered: 2026-11-12T16:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [LIGHT 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · LIGHT 10% A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905?window=all) Price · $1.47 · 2,450 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 61.21% · 7 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min -0.5% 65.0% 130.5% **Small sample.** 7 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905?window=7d) | 7 | 61.21% ±68.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905) | 7 | 61.21% ±68.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66866fc10d8177d4bd753905?window=all) | 7 | 61.21% ±68.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=66866fc10d8177d4bd753905) [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $1.47 2,450 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-field-tested) Hidden $1.47 2,450 BUX $2.90 4,831 BUX 1.97x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $1.47 2,450 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) [user-1e2e3e](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-1e2e3e) $1.47 2,450 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $1.47 2,450 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-field-tested) Hidden $1.47 2,450 BUX $2.90 4,831 BUX 1.97x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) [user-81c4ab](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-81c4ab) $1.47 2,450 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.21 on average: an expected loss of $38.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt