--- title: "Predator case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Predator ($2.31) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 134.75% over 35 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174 rendered: 2026-11-12T14:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Predator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Predator A case on 500 Casino, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174?window=all) Price · $2.31 · 3,851 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 134.75% · 35 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 31 openings · below min 30 days · 35 openings · below min since tracking started · 35 openings · below min 12.5% 149.3% 286.0% **Small sample.** 35 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174?window=7d) | 31 | 149.35% ±136.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174) | 35 | 134.75% ±121.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174?window=all) | 35 | 134.75% ±121.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=66b551eac1be88d3c97bf174) [StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-well-worn) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $2.00 3,332 BUX 0.87x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $50.00 83,300 BUX 21.63x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [Sticker | Woro2k (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-woro2k-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $0.50 833 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [Sticker | Woro2k (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-woro2k-holo-paris-2023) [admatron](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/admatron) $2.31 3,851 BUX $0.50 833 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-well-worn) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $2.00 3,332 BUX 0.87x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Woro2k (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-woro2k-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $0.50 833 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Woro2k (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-woro2k-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $0.50 833 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [Sticker | vice (Foil) | London 2018 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vice-foil-london-2018) [user-1e2e3e](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-1e2e3e) $2.31 3,851 BUX $6.01 10,012 BUX 2.60x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Woro2k (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-woro2k-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $0.50 833 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-10 17:09 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.31 3,851 BUX $4.00 6,664 BUX 1.73x 2026-11-10 17:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 134.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $134.75 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt