--- title: "10% awp 2 case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% awp 2 ($6.81) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 270.99% over 124 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [10% awp 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 10% awp 2 A case on 500 Casino, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0?window=all) Price · $6.81 · 11,351 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 270.99% · 124 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 116 openings · below min 7 days · 124 openings · below min 30 days · 124 openings · below min since tracking started · 124 openings · below min -0.5% 348.5% 697.5% **Small sample.** 124 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0?window=24h) | 116 | 284.74% ±412.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0?window=7d) | 124 | 270.99% ±385.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0) | 124 | 270.99% ±385.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0?window=all) | 124 | 270.99% ±385.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $1,656 2,758,129 BUX 243.0x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=66c5ab2d5e16ccd074730fe0) [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $74.75 124,533 BUX 10.97x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) [Levis](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Levis) $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $1,656 2,758,129 BUX 243.0x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) [Levis](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Levis) $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $6.81 11,351 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,656 (243.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 271.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $270.99 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt