--- title: "For the victory case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "For the victory ($8.84) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 474.25% over 4 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4 rendered: 2026-11-12T09:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [For the victory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · For the victory A case on 500 Casino, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4?window=all) Price · $8.84 · 14,727 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 474.25% · 4 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 692.0% 1384.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4?window=7d) | 4 | 474.25% ±909.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4) | 4 | 474.25% ±909.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4?window=all) | 4 | 474.25% ±909.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=66d4ae0ce3ca5498f5a2e1d4) [Sheriff Badge (Tin) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sheriff-badge-tin) Hidden $8.84 14,727 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.11x 2026-11-07 07:00 UTC [Oracle Orb (Obsidian) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/oracle-orb-obsidian) Hidden $8.84 14,727 BUX $165 274,890 BUX 18.67x 2026-11-07 07:00 UTC [Grains (Garnet) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/grains-garnet) Hidden $8.84 14,727 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.12x 2026-11-07 07:00 UTC [Locket (Zinc) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-zinc) [user-6b253c](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-6b253c) $8.84 14,727 BUX $0.60 1,000 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-07 07:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 474.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $474.25 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt