--- title: "Sakso %35 case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sakso %35 ($16.83) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 127.90% over 20 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4 rendered: 2026-11-12T10:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Sakso %35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Sakso %35 A case on 500 Casino, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4?window=all) Price · $16.83 · 28,033 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 127.90% · 20 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min 33.0% 185.3% 337.5% **Small sample.** 20 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4?window=7d) | 12 | 188.31% ±148.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4) | 20 | 127.90% ±94.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4?window=all) | 20 | 127.90% ±94.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=66efea1a924906b0b41c72e4) [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $117 195,288 BUX 6.97x 2026-11-09 17:12 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Proxy, Battlepack music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-proxy-battlepack) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $3.51 5,847 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-09 17:12 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $11.71 19,508 BUX 0.70x 2026-11-09 17:12 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Proxy, Battlepack music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-proxy-battlepack) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $3.51 5,847 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-09 17:12 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $11.71 19,508 BUX 0.70x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-field-tested) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $3.51 5,847 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $11.71 19,508 BUX 0.70x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $73.19 121,934 BUX 4.35x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $11.71 19,508 BUX 0.70x 2026-11-09 16:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.83 28,033 BUX $117 195,288 BUX 6.97x 2026-11-09 16:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 127.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $127.90 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt