---
title: "pako kejs case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "pako kejs ($0.73) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 62.50% over 20 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373
rendered: 2026-11-12T13:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [pako kejs](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · pako kejs

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373?window=all)

Price · $0.73 · 1,224 BUX

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 62.50% · 20 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 20 openings · below min

since tracking started · 20 openings · below min

-0.5% 54.8% 110.0%

**Small sample.** 20 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373?window=7d) | 4 | 52.37% ±56.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373) | 20 | 62.50% ±22.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373?window=all) | 20 | 62.50% ±22.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6703d7d13fe32b95b1471373)

[Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $0.73 1,224 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Hotpot graffiti · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hotpot) Hidden $0.73 1,224 BUX $0.21 349 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Hotpot graffiti · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hotpot) Hidden $0.73 1,224 BUX $0.21 349 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC

[AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) [Ronnie Dog Dog](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Ronnie%20Dog%20Dog) $0.73 1,224 BUX $1.02 1,699 BUX 1.39x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 62.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $62.50 on average: an expected loss of $37.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
