--- title: "SCAM or NOT case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SCAM or NOT ($1.40) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 109.74% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [SCAM or NOT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · SCAM or NOT A case on 500 Casino, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48?window=all) Price · $1.40 · 2,338 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 109.74% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min 5.5% 109.5% 213.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48?window=24h) | 8 | 109.74% ±103.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48?window=7d) | 8 | 109.74% ±103.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48) | 8 | 109.74% ±103.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/670e37283f12117a27616a48?window=all) | 8 | 109.74% ±103.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=670e37283f12117a27616a48) [Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cru1cal-paris-2023) Hidden $1.40 2,338 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) Hidden $1.40 2,338 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [Sticker | nawwwk | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nawwwk-paris-2023) Hidden $1.40 2,338 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [Sticker | AKickflip-47 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akickflip-47) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $1.40 2,338 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC ['Two Times' McCoy | TACP Cavalry agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/two-times-mccoy-tacp-cavalry) Hidden $1.40 2,338 BUX $3.23 5,381 BUX 2.30x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC [Sticker | nawwwk (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nawwwk-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $1.40 2,338 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC ['The Doctor' Romanov | Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) Hidden $1.40 2,338 BUX $5.36 8,929 BUX 3.82x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC ['Two Times' McCoy | TACP Cavalry agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/two-times-mccoy-tacp-cavalry) [user-70fc8a](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-70fc8a) $1.40 2,338 BUX $3.23 5,381 BUX 2.30x 2026-11-12 00:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 109.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $109.74 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt