--- title: "Snowball case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Snowball ($6.78) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 71.98% over 68 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff rendered: 2026-11-12T19:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Snowball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Snowball A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff?window=all) Price · $6.78 · 11,290 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 71.98% · 68 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 68 openings · below min since tracking started · 68 openings · below min 44.5% 86.5% 128.5% **Small sample.** 68 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff?window=7d) | 24 | 86.48% ±41.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff) | 68 | 71.98% ±19.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff?window=all) | 68 | 71.98% ±19.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=671d16f8c9c26db2362aa1ff) [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $13.92 23,190 BUX 2.05x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $13.92 23,190 BUX 2.05x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-serenity-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $5.79 9,646 BUX 0.85x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-serenity-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $5.79 9,646 BUX 0.85x 2026-11-06 09:02 UTC [Cologne 2016 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-legends-holo-foil) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $22.66 37,751 BUX 3.34x 2026-11-06 08:41 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.78 11,290 BUX $0.99 1,649 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-06 08:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $71.98 on average: an expected loss of $28.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt