--- title: "Crypt Keeper case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crypt Keeper ($500.09) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 70.29% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee rendered: 2026-11-12T07:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Crypt Keeper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Crypt Keeper A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee?window=all) Price · $500.09 · 833,157 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $450.08 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.29% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 6.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 124.3% 249.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee) | 8 | 70.29% ±177.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/671f89749fcfd41a010037ee?window=all) | 8 | 70.29% ±177.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $9,143 15,231,421 BUX | 40.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 12.0% | $1,056 1,759,395 BUX | 28.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 17.0% | $455 758,513 BUX | 17.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.47× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 18.5% | $175 292,283 BUX | 7.2% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.70× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 20.5% | $144 239,204 BUX | 6.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 30.0% | $4.06 6,763 BUX | 0.3% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $500 833,157 BUX $1,056 1,759,395 BUX 2.11x 2026-11-03 17:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=671f89749fcfd41a010037ee) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $500 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 2.0% Covert 12.0% Restricted 17.0% covert 39.0% restricted 30.0% best hit $1,056 (2.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt