--- title: "10% Knife Budget case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Knife Budget ($9.06) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 216.06% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12 rendered: 2026-11-13T00:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [10% Knife Budget](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 10% Knife Budget A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12?window=all) Price · $9.06 · 15,090 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 216.06% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 243.5% 487.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12?window=7d) | 8 | 216.06% ±270.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12) | 8 | 216.06% ±270.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/672146a74924deec17774c12?window=all) | 8 | 216.06% ±270.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=672146a74924deec17774c12) [Sticker | Please Return To sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-return-to) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-scorched-well-worn) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $77.54 129,181 BUX 8.56x 2026-11-10 15:01 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:01 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:01 UTC [Sticker | tarik | London 2018 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tarik-london-2018) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $2.22 3,698 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [Sticker | Please Return To sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-return-to) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.06 15,090 BUX $76.30 127,115 BUX 8.42x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 216.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $216.06 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt