--- title: "Cosmic Crossfire case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cosmic Crossfire ($577.46) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2 rendered: 2026-11-12T14:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Cosmic Crossfire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Cosmic Crossfire A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2?window=all) Price · $577.46 · 962,044 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $519.71 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1171fb38f699376925e2?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $6,253 10,417,864 BUX | 60.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 10.0% | $787 1,310,558 BUX | 15.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 10.0% | $390 649,973 BUX | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 10.0% | $255 425,046 BUX | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $219 364,154 BUX | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 10.0% | $144 239,170 BUX | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 20.0% | $68.45 114,037 BUX | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 25.0% | $55.82 92,996 BUX | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f1171fb38f699376925e2) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $577 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 35.0% restricted 35.0% classified 30.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt