--- title: "Hieroglyphic Depths case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hieroglyphic Depths ($1.78) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 98.28% over 817 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729 rendered: 2026-11-12T16:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Hieroglyphic Depths](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Hieroglyphic Depths A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729?window=all) Price · $1.78 · 2,968 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1.60 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.28% · 817 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 65 openings · below min 7 days · 97.80% ±12.06 523 openings 30 days · 98.28% ±9.65 817 openings since tracking started · 98.28% ±9.65 817 openings 77.5% 112.3% 147.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729?window=24h) | 65 | 112.14% ±34.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729?window=7d) | 523 | 97.80% ±12.1 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729) | 817 | 98.28% ±9.65 | +1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1182fb38f69937692729?window=all) | 817 | 98.28% ±9.65 | +1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 888 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Black Nile (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.72 17,859 BUX | 33.4% | 58 | 44.4 | 1.31× | | [P2000 \| Scorpion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.22 8,696 BUX | 32.6% | 82 | 88.8 | 0.92× | | [Sticker \| Ancient Beast (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-beast-foil) | 20.0% | $0.88 1,466 BUX | 11.0% | 183 | 177.6 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Rangeen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-rangeen-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.77 1,282 BUX | 9.6% | 187 | 177.6 | 1.05× | | [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.64 1,066 BUX | 8.0% | 171 | 177.6 | 0.96× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Abyss (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-abyss-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.35 583 BUX | 5.5% | 207 | 222.0 | 0.93× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f1182fb38f69937692729) [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $10.72 17,859 BUX 6.02x 2026-11-12 13:03 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Beast (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-beast-foil) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.88 1,466 BUX 0.49x 2026-11-12 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-rangeen-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.77 1,282 BUX 0.43x 2026-11-12 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Abyss (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-abyss-well-worn) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.35 583 BUX 0.20x 2026-11-12 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Abyss (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-abyss-well-worn) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.35 583 BUX 0.20x 2026-11-12 13:02 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $10.72 17,859 BUX 6.02x 2026-11-12 13:02 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Beast (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-beast-foil) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.88 1,466 BUX 0.49x 2026-11-12 13:02 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Beast (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-beast-foil) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.88 1,466 BUX 0.49x 2026-11-12 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-rangeen-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.77 1,282 BUX 0.43x 2026-11-12 13:00 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Beast (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-beast-foil) Hidden $1.78 2,968 BUX $0.88 1,466 BUX 0.49x 2026-11-12 13:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $1.78 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 5.0% restricted 10.0% Exotic 20.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% milspec 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt