--- title: "Imperial Authority case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Imperial Authority ($59.53) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 86.20% over 548 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768 rendered: 2026-11-12T17:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Imperial Authority](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Imperial Authority A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768?window=all) Price · $59.53 · 99,179 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $53.58 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.20% · 548 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 39.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 86.54% ±7.80 536 openings 30 days · 86.20% ±7.71 548 openings since tracking started · 86.20% ±7.71 548 openings 78.0% 86.5% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768?window=7d) | 536 | 86.54% ±7.80 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768) | 548 | 86.20% ±7.71 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f1187fb38f69937692768?window=all) | 548 | 86.20% ±7.71 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 548 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Knight (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,227 2,044,115 BUX | 2.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $199 331,117 BUX | 18.2% | 28 | 26.9 | 1.04× | | [Nova \| Baroque Orange (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $88.93 148,157 BUX | 24.9% | 68 | 82.2 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 19.0% | $58.84 98,027 BUX | 20.9% | 101 | 104.1 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 15.0% | $44.71 74,486 BUX | 12.5% | 94 | 82.2 | 1.14× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 20.0% | $30.78 51,279 BUX | 11.5% | 112 | 109.6 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 26.0% | $20.12 33,519 BUX | 9.8% | 145 | 142.5 | 1.02× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f1187fb38f69937692768) [USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $44.71 74,486 BUX 0.75x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $30.78 51,279 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $58.84 98,027 BUX 0.99x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) [Kronerkongen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Kronerkongen) $59.53 99,179 BUX $58.84 98,027 BUX 0.99x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $44.71 74,486 BUX 0.75x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [Nova | Baroque Orange (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-battle-scarred) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $88.93 148,157 BUX 1.49x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $20.12 33,519 BUX 0.34x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) [Kronerkongen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Kronerkongen) $59.53 99,179 BUX $58.84 98,027 BUX 0.99x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $30.78 51,279 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) Hidden $59.53 99,179 BUX $58.84 98,027 BUX 0.99x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $59.53 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 19.1% extraordinary 4.9% Restricted 15.0% industrial 15.0% #eb4b4b 20.0% classified 26.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt