--- title: "Phantom Pharaohs case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Phantom Pharaohs ($7.89) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 84.01% over 140 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Phantom Pharaohs](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Phantom Pharaohs A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2?window=all) Price · $7.89 · 13,147 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $7.10 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.01% · 140 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 98 openings · below min 30 days · 84.01% ±22.13 140 openings since tracking started · 84.01% ±22.13 140 openings 17.5% 67.8% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2?window=24h) | 28 | 67.85% ±49.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2?window=7d) | 98 | 71.50% ±26.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2) | 140 | 84.01% ±22.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f118efb38f699376927e2?window=all) | 140 | 84.01% ±22.1 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $51.37 85,582 BUX | 28.9% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $22.84 38,051 BUX | 22.5% | 8 | 10.9 | 0.73× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 19.0% | $8.42 14,027 BUX | 22.5% | 27 | 29.6 | 0.91× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 20.0% | $3.99 6,647 BUX | 11.2% | 38 | 31.2 | 1.22× | | [Souvenir P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scarab-rush-well-worn) | 20.0% | $3.53 5,880 BUX | 9.9% | 32 | 31.2 | 1.03× | | [MAG-7 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-well-worn) | 30.0% | $1.15 1,915 BUX | 4.9% | 46 | 46.8 | 0.98× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f118efb38f699376927e2) [MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $1.15 1,915 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [Souvenir P90 | ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scarab-rush-well-worn) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $3.53 5,880 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $8.42 14,027 BUX 1.07x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) [HALAMADRID](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/HALAMADRID) $7.89 13,147 BUX $3.99 6,647 BUX 0.51x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $1.15 1,915 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [Souvenir P90 | ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scarab-rush-well-worn) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $3.53 5,880 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $1.15 1,915 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [Souvenir P90 | ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scarab-rush-well-worn) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $7.89 13,147 BUX $3.53 5,880 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [Souvenir P90 | ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scarab-rush-well-worn) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $3.53 5,880 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-11 21:09 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.89 13,147 BUX $8.42 14,027 BUX 1.07x 2026-11-11 21:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $7.89 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Ancient 4.0% covert 27.0% Mil Spec Grade 19.0% Restricted 20.0% Consumer Grade 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt