--- title: "Ancient Oracles case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ancient Oracles ($5.35) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 106.96% over 189 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0 rendered: 2026-11-12T17:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Ancient Oracles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Ancient Oracles A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0?window=all) Price · $5.35 · 8,911 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $4.81 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 106.96% · 189 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 94.33% ±25.14 127 openings 30 days · 106.96% ±20.60 189 openings since tracking started · 106.96% ±20.60 189 openings 55.5% 103.5% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0?window=24h) | 36 | 103.48% ±47.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0?window=7d) | 127 | 94.33% ±25.1 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0) | 189 | 106.96% ±20.6 | +1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f119afb38f699376928e0?window=all) | 189 | 106.96% ±20.6 | +1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 205 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Amulet (Aquamarine) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-aquamarine) | 1 in 33 | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 26.2% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.30× | | [Gold-sprinkled Glove other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/gold-sprinkled-glove) | 1 in 14 | $17.50 29,155 BUX | 25.4% | 19 | 14.4 | 1.32× | | [Locket (Lapis Lazuli) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-lapis-lazuli) | 14.0% | $5.00 8,330 BUX | 14.5% | 38 | 28.7 | 1.32× | | [Memento (Moonstone) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/memento-moonstone) | 16.0% | $4.50 7,497 BUX | 15.0% | 36 | 32.8 | 1.10× | | [Bracelet (Brass) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bracelet-brass) | 19.0% | $2.50 4,165 BUX | 9.9% | 23 | 39.0 | 0.59× | | [Pocket-Perfect Palladium-ish Pen (Palladium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pocket-perfect-palladium-ish-pen-palladium) | 20.0% | $1.75 2,916 BUX | 7.3% | 44 | 41.0 | 1.07× | | [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) | 21.0% | $0.40 666 BUX | 1.7% | 37 | 43.0 | 0.86× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f119afb38f699376928e0) [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-12 11:04 UTC [Pocket-Perfect Palladium-ish Pen (Palladium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pocket-perfect-palladium-ish-pen-palladium) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $1.75 2,916 BUX 0.33x 2026-11-12 11:04 UTC [Amulet (Aquamarine) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-aquamarine) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $42.00 69,972 BUX 7.85x 2026-11-12 11:04 UTC [Locket (Lapis Lazuli) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-lapis-lazuli) [xsparktec](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/xsparktec) $5.35 8,911 BUX $5.00 8,330 BUX 0.93x 2026-11-12 11:04 UTC [Memento (Moonstone) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/memento-moonstone) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $4.50 7,497 BUX 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Bracelet (Brass) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bracelet-brass) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $2.50 4,165 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Memento (Moonstone) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/memento-moonstone) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $4.50 7,497 BUX 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) [komnuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/komnuu) $5.35 8,911 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Pocket-Perfect Palladium-ish Pen (Palladium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pocket-perfect-palladium-ish-pen-palladium) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $1.75 2,916 BUX 0.33x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Memento (Moonstone) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/memento-moonstone) Hidden $5.35 8,911 BUX $4.50 7,497 BUX 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $5.35 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Restricted 3.0% Industrial Grade 26.0% Consumer Grade 71.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt