--- title: "Clockwork Continuum case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clockwork Continuum ($0.67) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 7 items with odds, observed 93.95% over 1,345 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1 rendered: 2026-11-12T15:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Clockwork Continuum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Clockwork Continuum A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1?window=all) Price · $0.67 · 1,113 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $0.60 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.95% · 1,345 openings, odds method Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86 openings · below min 7 days · 90.45% ±6.81 940 openings 30 days · 93.95% ±5.70 1,345 openings since tracking started · 93.95% ±5.70 1,345 openings 77.5% 100.8% 124.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1?window=24h) | 86 | 100.87% ±22.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1?window=7d) | 940 | 90.45% ±6.81 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1) | 1,345 | 93.95% ±5.70 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a0fb38f699376929a1?window=all) | 1,345 | 93.95% ±5.70 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,377 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Artifact (Aluminum) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/artifact-aluminum) | 1 in 33 | $2.55 4,248 BUX | 12.7% | 60 | 41.3 | 1.45× | | [Knot (Nickel) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/knot-nickel) | 1 in 18 | $2.10 3,499 BUX | 19.2% | 79 | 75.7 | 1.04× | | [Lead Lining other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lead-lining) | 10.5% | $1.80 2,999 BUX | 31.4% | 134 | 144.6 | 0.93× | | [Locket (Zinc) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-zinc) | 15.5% | $0.60 1,000 BUX | 15.5% | 196 | 213.4 | 0.92× | | [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) | 17.0% | $0.40 666 BUX | 11.3% | 246 | 234.1 | 1.05× | | [Tinfoil Top Hat other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tinfoil-top-hat) | 21.5% | $0.15 250 BUX | 5.4% | 288 | 296.1 | 0.97× | | [Steel Stud other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/steel-stud) | 27.0% | $0.10 167 BUX | 4.5% | 374 | 371.8 | 1.01× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f11a0fb38f699376929a1) [Steel Stud other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/steel-stud) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Tinfoil Top Hat other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tinfoil-top-hat) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $0.15 250 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Artifact (Aluminum) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/artifact-aluminum) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $2.55 4,248 BUX 3.82x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Locket (Zinc) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-zinc) [HALAMADRID](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/HALAMADRID) $0.67 1,113 BUX $0.60 1,000 BUX 0.90x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.60x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Tinfoil Top Hat other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tinfoil-top-hat) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $0.15 250 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.60x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Steel Stud other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/steel-stud) [HALAMADRID](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/HALAMADRID) $0.67 1,113 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Knot (Nickel) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/knot-nickel) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $2.10 3,499 BUX 3.14x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC [Artifact (Aluminum) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/artifact-aluminum) Hidden $0.67 1,113 BUX $2.55 4,248 BUX 3.82x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $0.67 | 90.01% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Industrial Grade 3.0% Mil Spec Grade 5.5% Consumer Grade 91.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt