---
title: "Lost Legacies case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Lost Legacies ($185.56) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5
rendered: 2026-11-12T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Lost Legacies](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Lost Legacies

A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5?window=all)

Price · $185.56 · 309,136 BUX

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $167.00 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11a3fb38f699376929d5?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Throne of Thor (Topaz) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/throne-of-thor-topaz) | 1 in 50 | $1,500 2,499,000 BUX | 18.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Coin (Gold) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-gold) | 1 in 20 | $649 1,081,234 BUX | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Palladium Palace other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/palladium-palace) | 10.0% | $445 741,370 BUX | 26.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Coin From The Lost City (Mythril) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-from-the-lost-city-mythril) | 16.0% | $199 331,534 BUX | 19.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Golden Key other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-key) | 20.0% | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Heliodor Helm other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heliodor-helm) | 21.0% | $27.00 44,982 BUX | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Mystic Mosaic (Manganese) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystic-mosaic-manganese) | 26.0% | $19.00 31,654 BUX | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f11a3fb38f699376929d5)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $186 | 90.00% | 7 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Special 2.0% Covert 15.0% Mil Spec Grade 42.0% Classified 20.0% Consumer Grade 21.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt