--- title: "Elder Engravings case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Elder Engravings ($76.07) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 92.18% over 10 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Elder Engravings](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Elder Engravings A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7?window=all) Price · $76.07 · 126,734 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $68.46 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.18% · 10 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 44.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min 7.0% 80.0% 153.0% **Small sample.** 10 openings and 4.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7?window=7d) | 2 | 79.96% ±72.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7) | 10 | 92.18% ±32.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7?window=all) | 10 | 92.18% ±32.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $260 433,609 BUX | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $166 276,855 BUX | 12.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-ancient-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $111 184,992 BUX | 14.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $99.78 166,233 BUX | 13.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Patch \| Elder God patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-elder-god) | 20.0% | $80.81 134,629 BUX | 23.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-well-worn) | 28.0% | $40.84 68,039 BUX | 16.7% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.79× | | [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 28.0% | $39.22 65,340 BUX | 16.0% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f11d1fb38f69937692cf7) [Patch | Elder God patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-elder-god) Hidden $76.07 126,734 BUX $80.81 134,629 BUX 1.06x 2026-11-09 21:44 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-well-worn) [maxz9590](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/maxz9590) $76.07 126,734 BUX $40.84 68,039 BUX 0.54x 2026-11-09 21:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $76.07 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% Restricted 42.0% extraordinary 9.0% exotic 20.0% classified 28.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt