--- title: "Divine Decrees case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Divine Decrees ($0.44) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 7 items with odds, observed 90.81% over 1,647 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Divine Decrees](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Divine Decrees A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71?window=all) Price · $0.44 · 732 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $0.40 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.81% · 1,647 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 95.96% ±15.87 410 openings 7 days · 92.34% ±8.90 1,304 openings 30 days · 90.81% ±7.92 1,647 openings since tracking started · 90.81% ±7.92 1,647 openings 79.5% 96.0% 112.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71?window=24h) | 410 | 95.96% ±15.9 | +0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71?window=7d) | 1,304 | 92.34% ±8.90 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71) | 1,647 | 90.81% ±7.92 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11d7fb38f69937692d71?window=all) | 1,647 | 90.81% ±7.92 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,697 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Locket (Lapis Lazuli) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-lapis-lazuli) | 1 in 50 | $5.00 8,330 BUX | 25.3% | 33 | 33.9 | 0.97× | | [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) | 10.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 27.8% | 186 | 169.7 | 1.10× | | [Almost Amber Anklet (Amber) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/almost-amber-anklet-amber) | 15.0% | $0.45 750 BUX | 17.1% | 224 | 254.5 | 0.88× | | [Brass Bead other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/brass-bead) | 15.0% | $0.30 500 BUX | 11.4% | 275 | 254.5 | 1.08× | | [Copper Coin other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/copper-coin) | 15.0% | $0.20 333 BUX | 7.6% | 265 | 254.5 | 1.04× | | [Diamond-shaped Ice Cube other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/diamond-shaped-ice-cube) | 23.0% | $0.10 167 BUX | 5.8% | 396 | 390.3 | 1.01× | | [Picture of a bar of gold (Gold) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/picture-of-a-bar-of-gold-gold) | 20.0% | $0.10 167 BUX | 5.1% | 318 | 339.4 | 0.94× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f11d7fb38f69937692d71) [Copper Coin other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/copper-coin) Hidden $0.44 732 BUX $0.20 333 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-12 10:44 UTC [Picture of a bar of gold (Gold) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/picture-of-a-bar-of-gold-gold) Hidden $0.44 732 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-12 10:44 UTC [Picture of a bar of gold (Gold) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/picture-of-a-bar-of-gold-gold) Hidden $0.44 732 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-12 10:44 UTC [Copper Coin other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/copper-coin) [dinlilleflue67](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/dinlilleflue67) $0.44 732 BUX $0.20 333 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-12 10:44 UTC [Almost Amber Anklet (Amber) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/almost-amber-anklet-amber) Hidden $0.44 732 BUX $0.45 750 BUX 1.02x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC [Diamond-shaped Ice Cube other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/diamond-shaped-ice-cube) Hidden $0.44 732 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC [Almost Amber Anklet (Amber) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/almost-amber-anklet-amber) Hidden $0.44 732 BUX $0.45 750 BUX 1.02x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC [Diamond-shaped Ice Cube other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/diamond-shaped-ice-cube) [user-1e2e3e](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-1e2e3e) $0.44 732 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC [Picture of a bar of gold (Gold) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/picture-of-a-bar-of-gold-gold) Hidden $0.44 732 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [Copper Coin other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/copper-coin) [sad\_man17](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/sad_man17) $0.44 732 BUX $0.20 333 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $0.44 | 90.05% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Consumer Grade 75.0% Industrial Grade 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt