--- title: "Regal Majesty case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Regal Majesty ($2.46) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 83.90% over 698 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5 rendered: 2026-11-12T13:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Regal Majesty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Regal Majesty A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5?window=all) Price · $2.46 · 4,104 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2.22 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.90% · 698 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 67.22% ±25.43 102 openings 7 days · 70.84% ±12.39 430 openings 30 days · 83.90% ±9.72 698 openings since tracking started · 83.90% ±9.72 698 openings 41.0% 67.8% 94.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5?window=24h) | 102 | 67.22% ±25.4 | −1.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5?window=7d) | 430 | 70.84% ±12.4 | −3.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5) | 698 | 83.90% ±9.72 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11e7fb38f69937692de5?window=all) | 698 | 83.90% ±9.72 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 750 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Bar Of Gold (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/bar-of-gold-metal) | 1 in 100 | $21.02 35,013 BUX | 9.5% | 5 | 7.5 | 0.67× | | [Golden Garnet Grail other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-garnet-grail) | 1 in 20 | $12.00 19,992 BUX | 27.1% | 36 | 37.5 | 0.96× | | [Locket (Lapis Lazuli) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-lapis-lazuli) | 10.0% | $5.00 8,330 BUX | 22.6% | 67 | 75.0 | 0.89× | | [Amber Amulet other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amber-amulet) | 15.0% | $1.90 3,165 BUX | 12.9% | 117 | 112.5 | 1.04× | | [Medallion (Manganese) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-manganese) | 16.0% | $1.50 2,499 BUX | 10.8% | 106 | 120.0 | 0.88× | | [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) | 17.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 8.4% | 132 | 127.5 | 1.04× | | [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) | 17.0% | $0.70 1,166 BUX | 5.4% | 120 | 127.5 | 0.94× | | [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) | 19.0% | $0.40 666 BUX | 3.4% | 167 | 142.5 | 1.17× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f11e7fb38f69937692de5) [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 13:05 UTC [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 13:05 UTC [Amber Amulet other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amber-amulet) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $1.90 3,165 BUX 0.77x 2026-11-12 13:05 UTC [Amber Amulet other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amber-amulet) [maxz9590](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/maxz9590) $2.46 4,104 BUX $1.90 3,165 BUX 0.77x 2026-11-12 13:05 UTC [Locket (Lapis Lazuli) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-lapis-lazuli) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $5.00 8,330 BUX 2.03x 2026-11-12 12:14 UTC [Medallion (Manganese) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-manganese) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $1.50 2,499 BUX 0.61x 2026-11-12 12:14 UTC [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 10:50 UTC [Crystal (Quartz) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crystal-quartz) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $0.40 666 BUX 0.16x 2026-11-12 10:50 UTC [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) Hidden $2.46 4,104 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-12 10:50 UTC [Amber Amulet other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amber-amulet) [HALAMADRID](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/HALAMADRID) $2.46 4,104 BUX $1.90 3,165 BUX 0.77x 2026-11-12 10:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $2.46 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 1.0% Industrial Grade 22.0% Consumer Grade 77.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt