--- title: "Temporal Trek case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Temporal Trek ($415.75) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 74.98% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6 rendered: 2026-11-12T09:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Temporal Trek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Temporal Trek A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6?window=all) Price · $415.75 · 692,643 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $374.18 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.98% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 44.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 84.5% 169.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6?window=7d) | 8 | 74.98% ±94.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6) | 8 | 74.98% ±94.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6?window=all) | 8 | 74.98% ±94.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Suspect's Gold Watch (Gold) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/suspects-gold-watch-gold) | 1 in 10,000 | $50K 83,300,000 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Fountain of Fortune (Fluorite) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/fountain-of-fortune-fluorite) | 1 in 100 | $2,700 4,498,200 BUX | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/labyrinth-lapis-lazuli) | 20.0% | $537 894,642 BUX | 28.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | | [Astral Amulet (Alexandrite) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/astral-amulet-alexandrite) | 23.0% | $450 749,700 BUX | 27.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) | 25.0% | $240 399,840 BUX | 16.0% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.00× | | [Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/limited-edition-coin-adamantium) | 31.0% | $230 383,180 BUX | 19.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/labyrinth-lapis-lazuli) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $537 894,642 BUX 1.29x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC [Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/labyrinth-lapis-lazuli) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $537 894,642 BUX 1.29x 2026-11-06 08:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=673f11f2fb38f69937692ec6) [Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/labyrinth-lapis-lazuli) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $537 894,642 BUX 1.29x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $240 399,840 BUX 0.58x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $240 399,840 BUX 0.58x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC [Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/limited-edition-coin-adamantium) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $230 383,180 BUX 0.55x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $240 399,840 BUX 0.58x 2026-11-06 08:37 UTC [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $240 399,840 BUX 0.58x 2026-11-06 08:37 UTC [Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/labyrinth-lapis-lazuli) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $537 894,642 BUX 1.29x 2026-11-06 08:37 UTC [Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/limited-edition-coin-adamantium) Hidden $416 692,643 BUX $230 383,180 BUX 0.55x 2026-11-06 08:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $416 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 0.0% Exceedingly Rare 1.0% Restricted 74.0% Covert 25.0% best hit $537 (1.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt