--- title: "1% Gambleking Low case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Gambleking Low ($2.92) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 476.03% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [1% Gambleking Low](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 1% Gambleking Low A case on 500 Casino, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0?window=all) Price · $2.92 · 4,862 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 476.03% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 901.0% 1802.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0?window=7d) | 14 | 611.06% ±1190.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0) | 18 | 476.03% ±926.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0?window=all) | 18 | 476.03% ±926.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [user-81c4ab](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-81c4ab) $2.92 4,862 BUX $248 413,767 BUX 85.10x 2026-11-08 18:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=67c15a5654e5b0110ef098a0) [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-08 18:11 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [user-81c4ab](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-81c4ab) $2.92 4,862 BUX $248 413,767 BUX 85.10x 2026-11-08 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:25 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:25 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:25 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) [Lazzlie](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Lazzlie) $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:25 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:24 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:24 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:24 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) [Lazzlie](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Lazzlie) $2.92 4,862 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $248 (85.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 476.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $476.03 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt