--- title: "guaranteed profit easy 7% on 500 Casino: odds & RTP" description: "guaranteed profit easy 7% ($9.88) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 221.23% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [guaranteed profit easy 7%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · guaranteed profit easy 7% A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330?window=all) Price · $9.88 · 16,466 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 221.23% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 325.5% 651.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330?window=24h) | 4 | 222.31% ±428.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330?window=7d) | 8 | 221.23% ±279.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330) | 8 | 221.23% ±279.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/67c964505472a965bd574330?window=all) | 8 | 221.23% ±279.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=67c964505472a965bd574330) [Sticker | Support sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-support) Hidden $9.88 16,466 BUX $0.36 599 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-12 23:00 UTC [Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Pistols](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-nitro-battle-scarred) [Cum Gaming](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Cum%20Gaming) $9.88 16,466 BUX $0.36 599 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-12 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) Hidden $9.88 16,466 BUX $86.81 144,625 BUX 8.78x 2026-11-12 23:00 UTC [Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Pistols](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-nitro-battle-scarred) [Cum Gaming](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Cum%20Gaming) $9.88 16,466 BUX $0.36 599 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-12 23:00 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Foil) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-foil-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $9.88 16,466 BUX $85.96 143,209 BUX 8.70x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Zander (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-factory-new) Hidden $9.88 16,466 BUX $0.36 599 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [Sticker | SENER1 (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sener1-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $9.88 16,466 BUX $0.36 599 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) Hidden $9.88 16,466 BUX $0.36 599 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 221.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $221.23 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt