--- title: "Free Pizza case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Free Pizza ($10.24) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.88% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3 rendered: 2026-11-12T15:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Free Pizza](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Free Pizza A case on 500 Casino, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3?window=all) Price · $10.24 · 17,053 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 72.88% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min 1.5% 72.7% 144.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3?window=7d) | 8 | 72.88% ±70.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3) | 8 | 72.88% ±70.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3?window=all) | 8 | 72.88% ±70.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=684ecf1f9938c51835af3ed3) [Sticker | Bossy Burger sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bossy-burger) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $0.79 1,316 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-10 21:33 UTC [Sticker | Bossy Burger sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bossy-burger) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $0.79 1,316 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-10 21:33 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $24.04 40,050 BUX 2.35x 2026-11-10 21:33 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $6.73 11,212 BUX 0.66x 2026-11-10 21:33 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $24.04 40,050 BUX 2.35x 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC [Sticker | Bossy Burger sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bossy-burger) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $0.79 1,316 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC [Sticker | Assassin (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-assassin-holo) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $1.71 2,848 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC [Sticker | Bossy Burger sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bossy-burger) Hidden $10.24 17,053 BUX $0.79 1,316 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.88 on average: an expected loss of $27.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt