--- title: "10% Chance For cured depression on 500 Casino: odds & RTP" description: "10% Chance For cured depression ($22.04) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 111.69% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a rendered: 2026-11-13T02:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [10% Chance For cured depression](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · 10% Chance For cured depression A case on 500 Casino, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a?window=all) Price · $22.04 · 36,720 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 111.69% · 3 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 139.8% 280.0% **Small sample.** 3 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a?window=24h) | 3 | 111.69% ±167.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a?window=7d) | 3 | 111.69% ±167.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a) | 3 | 111.69% ±167.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6865f525d296c93a22501c0a?window=all) | 3 | 111.69% ±167.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6865f525d296c93a22501c0a) [AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $22.04 36,720 BUX $61.79 102,942 BUX 2.80x 2026-11-12 10:48 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Cologne 2014 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-cologne-2014) Hidden $22.04 36,720 BUX $11.74 19,558 BUX 0.53x 2026-11-12 10:48 UTC [Souvenir P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $22.04 36,720 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-12 10:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 111.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $111.69 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt