--- title: "Blue Rose case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blue Rose ($7.16) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.95% over 550 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Blue Rose](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Blue Rose A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2?window=all) Price · $7.16 · 11,924 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 74.95% · 550 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 292 openings · below min 30 days · 550 openings · below min since tracking started · 550 openings · below min 57.0% 78.7% 100.5% **Small sample.** 550 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2?window=7d) | 292 | 78.66% ±21.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2) | 550 | 74.95% ±14.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68756d3a71701bada41a28c2?window=all) | 550 | 74.95% ±14.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=68756d3a71701bada41a28c2) [Anubis Collection Package container · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/anubis-collection-package) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $1.19 1,982 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $6.02 10,029 BUX 0.84x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | ESL One Cologne 2014 (Blue) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-one-cologne-2014-blue) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $11.98 19,958 BUX 1.67x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) Hidden $7.16 11,924 BUX $0.10 167 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.95 on average: an expected loss of $25.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt