--- title: "neblogas profitas case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "neblogas profitas ($3.34) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 163.98% over 4 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8 rendered: 2026-11-12T14:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [neblogas profitas](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · neblogas profitas A case on 500 Casino, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8?window=all) Price · $3.34 · 5,557 BUX Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 163.98% · 4 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 220.3% 441.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8?window=24h) | 4 | 163.98% ±276.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8?window=7d) | 4 | 163.98% ±276.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8) | 4 | 163.98% ±276.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8?window=all) | 4 | 163.98% ±276.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** 500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=68f79a0364b6df659a0f5da8) [SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-field-tested) Hidden $3.34 5,557 BUX $0.92 1,532 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [Music Kit | Matt Levine, Drifter music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-matt-levine-drifter) Hidden $3.34 5,557 BUX $0.69 1,149 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) Hidden $3.34 5,557 BUX $19.58 32,620 BUX 5.87x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [Music Kit | Matt Levine, Drifter music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-matt-levine-drifter) [user-1e2e3e](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-1e2e3e) $3.34 5,557 BUX $0.69 1,149 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 164.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $163.98 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt